Zelensky Says Ukrainian KIA Down From Peak to 30 per Day
Zelensky claims Ukrainian daily KIA have declined from 100-200 to around 30.
At the peak of fighting in May and June, he said, Ukraine was losing between 100 and 200 troops a day; now, it is down to some 30 fatalities a day and around 250 wounded.
I can’t vouch for Zelensky’s number, and I disagree that May and June saw peak fighting (rather than the peak of the Ukrainian campaign to get US aid), but I buy that Ukrainian daily casualties are currently down from the peak. The same trend can be detected in reported losses of Donetsk Republic which are down from a peak of over 200 weekly dead to 31 in the seven days ending on July 22nd.
Donetsk military dead in seven-day intervals after June 6th are 67, 68, 51, 109, 54, 31 — which is to say that the generally downward trend (apparent in the chart above) continued.
At the present, especially in the last two weeks, there seems to be relatively less fighting albeit there are no guarantees that more intense bloodspilling won’t pick up again. It remains to be seen if this is A) the road toward the war tapering off, B) the war permanently settling into a new lower level of intensity, or C) the sides gathering strength for further bouts of intense butchery.