Facing the Facts of War With Russia

"Twenty years of desultory battles against weak opponents has not elevated much warfighting talent to the senior ranks of the armed forces to cope with a radically changed warfighting environment"

Conflict with Russia may be inevitable. Kiev’s strident threats to resolve the crisis in Eastern Ukraine with force of arms, combined with Washington’s refusal to acknowledge that Moscow actually has legitimate national security interests in Eastern Ukraine, makes it so. Equally troubling, the president sees no particular reason why he should explain to the American people why Washington’s readiness to support Kiev’s use of force against Russia makes strategic sense for America. 

In 1937, when the Imperial Japanese government expressed sincere regret for attacking and sinking the U.S.S. Panay, an American gunboat that had been patrolling China’s Yangtze River, U.S. Ambassador to Japan Joseph Grew was not satisfied. He warned the Japanese Foreign Ministry that “Facts mean more than Statements.”

Grew was right. A Biden-Harris guarantee of support for the Ukrainian government’s plan to reconquer its lost territories, including Luhansk, Donetsk, or Crimea, is about as meaningless as the British government’s 1939 guarantee of assistance to the Poles in the event of a German attack on Poland. 

In 1937, President Franklin D. Roosevelt decided not to retaliate against the Japanese. FDR knew there was no public support in the United States for a war with Japan or any other great power. FDR also resisted pressure from the U.S. Navy’s admirals to retaliate because he knew America’s armed forces were not ready for a full-scale war. As for our British friends, they were not ready to weaken their fleet in the Atlantic to join a fight against Japan when the threat of war with Germany was growing. 

It is easy for presidents to moralize and posture in public about matters thousands of miles from America’s borders when it currently costs nothing in terms of American blood. Unfortunately, this condition won’t last. Fighting in Eastern Ukraine will produce heavy casualties on both sides. Russian and Ukrainian soldiers are courageous, intelligent, and ruthless. None of them are “woke.” All are motivated by patriotism, ingrained discipline, and a strong professional military ethos.

Because the Russian military is larger and better armed, the most likely outcome is a Russian victory. Moscow is then likely to direct its forces to swallow Ukraine’s territory east of the Dnieper River making matters far worse for Kiev. As Angela Merkel observed in 2015, Putin is confident that the battle in Eastern Ukraine is one that he can definitely win. 

If Russian military power prevails, President Biden’s promise of support means U.S. or Allied NATO air or ground forces may intervene to rescue the Ukrainians from defeat. In Europe, U.S. Army and Marine ground forces are too weak to intervene 500 miles east of the Polish border, even if reinforced in a timely manner by armored brigades. None of NATO’s ground forces are ready to cope with Russia’s BM-30 SMERCH Rocket Artillery Formations. Rockets fired from just five of Russia’s BM-30 SMERCH rocket launchers can devastate an area the size of New York City’s Central Park (843 acres, or 3.2 square miles) in minutes.

Thus, if U.S. and allied forces do intervene, they are likely to do so with air assets. How effective Russian integrated air defenses will be is unknown, but it would be ill-advised to underestimate the impact of Russian IADs with phased array radars. Some of the newest air defense systems—like the Russian S-500—are so capable that many U.S. Defense officials privately worry that even warplanes like the F-22, F-35, and the B-2 risk destruction if they attempt to penetrate them. 

Since prevailing winds in Eastern Europe would spread nuclear fallout across Russia and Central Asia all the way to Korea, the Russian use of nuclear weapons is very unlikely—unless of course, U.S. forces use so-called “tactical nuclear weapons,” which would trigger Russian escalation to the strategic nuclear level with ominous consequences for planet Earth. However, virtually all U.S. and allied military installations, from Estonia to Spain, will be within range of Russian Kalibr Cruise Missiles carrying 1,000 pound, high explosive, conventional warheads.

President Biden’s apparent guarantee of U.S. support to Ukraine’s president suggests he’s also drinking deeply from the poison well of failed American statecraft and generalship, a wellspring of uncreative minds with no appreciation for real warfare. Twenty years of desultory battles against weak opponents (insurgents without armies, air forces, and air defenses) has not elevated much warfighting talent to the senior ranks of the armed forces to cope with a radically changed warfighting environment. 

Equally serious is America’s deteriorating societal cohesion, which was on full display during the summer of 2020. When added to the dramatic spike in illegal human and drug trafficking pouring across the southern border, it seems certain that a major war in Eastern Europe would expose not only serious vulnerabilities in the U.S. armed forces, but the fragility of American society to the whole world. 

It is worth remembering that when the Trump administration’s hawkish advisors and secretaries of State and Defense urged military action that threatened conflict with Iran in 2019, President Trump just said, “No.” Today, it appears that strategy sessions in the White House are little more than a façade behind which wish-based, “woke” ideology dominates discussions. The implication is there is no adult present in the Oval Office capable of just saying “No.”

In 1937, FDR was the adult in the Oval Office who understood that American public opinion exacts obedience. He knew the enormous demands war would place on America’s economy and its armed forces during a Depression. For FDR, these realities made military retaliation against Japan impossible. 

Unlike FDR then, now Biden, Harris, and their “woke” advisors are throwing caution to the wind. Whether they realize it or not, they are also playing with the survival of their own administration.

Source: The American Conservative

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ken
ken
23 days ago

As apparent in Russia’s Georgia operations, if Russia is forced to intervene, they will do so with amazing speed and abundant power. They will close airspace and any US/Nato/Ukraine attempt to penetrate will be disastrous.

On the ground the undisciplined woke Western military will make for another disaster. Their weaponry out of date, and their arrogance pegging the needle will make them ripe for defeat.

The economies of the West destroyed by the despots now in control and their fake virus in no way are prepared for any serious war.

fewgoodmen_large.jpg
Timmy75
22 days ago
Reply to  ken

.

Ams Exceptional.jpg
Webster
Webster
21 days ago
Reply to  Timmy75

What’s wrong with the Grateful Dead? Give me a fucking break!

Webster
Webster
21 days ago
Reply to  ken

The Photo depicts crazed nationalist Trump supporters perfectly! These delusional nuts ain’t going away folks!

Mike
Mike
21 days ago
Reply to  ken

In fact it maybe war that saves us from the fake virus and the fatal vaccine!

GMC
GMC
23 days ago

The American populace has No say so on this fight, much less any other foreign policy. And Biden is a senile old huckleberry for the Pentagon/MIC { liars, thieves and murderers} who will tell Russia, anything they wish to hear, while aiming the nukes in that direction. I have no clue where Russia’s real red line is – anymore, but waiting for someone to attack you or your citizens is way too defensive for this old Vet – especially when they are in your crosshairs. Ukraine military stopped being Russian friendly, when they started exercises with Nato – over a decade ago. No engagement will give Ukrainian/Nato/US bragging rights – but that could backfire also.

Sally Snyder
Sally Snyder
23 days ago

Here is an article that looks at Russia’s latest weapon:

https://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2021/04/russias-fifth-generation-fighter-sukhoi.html

As Germany learned in the 1940s, winning an all-out war with Russia will prove to be far more difficult than Washington may have us believe.

yuri
yuri
23 days ago

correction: any real provocation, Russian troops will occupy half Ukraine in 5 days–most ukraine soldiers will defect to Russia

Mark
23 days ago

However, virtually all U.S. and allied military installations, from Estonia to Spain, will be within range of Russian Kalibr cruise missile carrying 1,000 pound, high explosive, conventional warheads.”

There is no place on the planet which is out of range of the Kalibr. It has been successfully test-fired from submarines and aircraft. Russia already specifically said that if anyone wants to dance, the ‘control centres’ of the attack will be hit. When the Kalibr made its successful combat debut in Syria, fired from the Caspian Sea, western analysts jabbered that it was a ‘game-changer’, but I’m not sure how many of them realized just how much of a game-changer it is. If a submarine or aircraft can get within 1,400 or so km from you, you may be in the crosshairs. And Russia has lots of them.

jimbogoofball
Member
jimbogoofball (@jimbogoofball)
22 days ago
Reply to  Mark

Ya but is putin going to bother to retaliate this time? Or follow his track record and grant them ceasefires every time these yankees start getting pounded properly? That’s how it was in the first years 2014/15. Ceasefire after ceasefire. Then these nazis just regroup and attack Russians again. Will Putin just finish them off this time and kill ALL of them? Failing that this is just going to continue.

Last edited 22 days ago by jimbogoofball
Jerry Hood
Jerry Hood
23 days ago

My beloved Russia need to liberate the whole of Europe this time from the zionazi& ashkeNazi hordes, no taking prisoners of war!!!

Jay
Jay
18 days ago
Reply to  Jerry Hood

the Nazis always blaming the Jews

Jerry Hood
Jerry Hood
23 days ago

Note the golden seal of Russia: inside is St.George-the Dragon= USAtan slayer! USatan= USrael must be killed!!!

vercingetorige
vercingetorige
22 days ago

All the things, since at least 2014, Ukraine has done, does and will do are piloted by the West-NATO-US. Ukraine alone does not even know how to throw a stone and hit the target. Therefore, I do not really believe that is trying to drag the US and Europe into the war with Russia, because it does not act autonomously. After the 2014 coup, Ukraine is a puppet government in the direct service of the West which, led by the Illuminati (Zionists, globalists, Freemasons, Jews, etc.) who have ALWAYS ruled behind the scenes, America, wants to annihilate the Russian people returned to its millenary, deep, authentic Christian tradition, after the frightening interlude of the Jewish Masonic-Illuminati Communism (of the Jewish Marx, Lenin, Stalin, etc.), which began with the massacre of the innocent, Christian imperial Romanov family.
Orthodox Patriarch of Moscow consecrates Main Military Cathedral
https://www.youtube.com/wat
The struggle, even before that economic, geo-political or other, is spiritual, between the demonic forces embodied by the People who has condemned and crucified Christ, the Son of God (who openly accused them of having the devil as their father and of doing the works of the devil) and Christians of all times. The West Christianity has completely & successfully been corrupted by the Jewish elites of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion, in every way, one more disgusting than the other). Today the greatest, probably the only bulwark of Christianity in the world is Russia and Judaism, blinded by its hatred of Christ and Christians, does not tolerate it. For this reason, Putin has for years been defamed, demonized, sanctioned, in every way, again one more disgusting than the other, because Russia remains its last very big obstacle to be overcome in order to establish its New World Order Dictatorship, with Jerusalem as its capital, governed by their messiah, the ANTICHRIST.
If we ask 100 Americans what they think about Russia and its President, 99 will most likely answer in a negative way, that is, completely wrong, therefore, against their own interests.
The very probable war would not be a choice of Ukraine alone, but of the entire West led mainly by the USA (ruled by the Jewish Freemasons Illuminati) which sends that poor ukrain people to the front line, that is to massacre, and would automatically involve the whole West, that is to say, the whole world.
“The Jew is a person who, failing to sleep, prevents others from sleeping ” Isaac Singer.

Robert Leo Gorman
22 days ago
Reply to  vercingetorige

Bingo !!!!!!!!!! Am just now finishing Douglass Reed “The Controversy of Zion”

Jay
Jay
18 days ago

Zion is flourishing you racist clown

Fred
Fred
22 days ago
Reply to  vercingetorige

A dramatis personae of the Maidan coup and Russophone genocide reads like a Tel Aviv phonebook and it was architected, financed and directed by the U.S. State Department.

It should be noted that Venona has vindicated Joe McCarthy’s assertion that the State Department was a Judeo-soviet enclave.

Jay
Jay
18 days ago
Reply to  vercingetorige

elders of Zion hitlers book .

Jc was jewish was born a Jew and died a Jew and had nothing to do with Christianity .

Know your facts you racist fool

Chad
Chad
18 days ago
Reply to  Jay

Jesus was not Jewish, that is a Jewish lie. The word jew did not even exist for 1500 years. Jesus was Aramaic and spoke their language and was born to a Hebrew family or Aramaic descent.

Know your facts zionist fool

Jay
Jay
18 days ago
Reply to  vercingetorige

Illuminati and Freemasons has nothing to do with Jews or Judaism it’s a perverted sick cult .

Most of the comments on here are false information attacking a people for no reason with lies and half truth

Mr Reynard
Mr Reynard
22 days ago

Well, I could be wrong ? But IMHO there will be no war, for a simple reason ?
During WWI the psychopathic reptilian bloodline was safe in London, ,then during WWII the same reptilian bloodline was safe in New York or Hymietown as it is known ..
But today, you’re not safe anywhere on this planet, so unless you take a ticket on Elon Musk spaceship to Mars, you will be toast .. Wish you Mazel Tov on Mars.. You will need lots of Tovs on Mars …

Curmudgeon
Curmudgeon
22 days ago
Reply to  Mr Reynard

the psychopathic reptilian bloodline

I’m unsure of your label. There are those that claim the Monarchy in London are the psychopathic reptilian bloodline. That would mean the psychopathic reptilian bloodline in Moscow and Berlin were not safe.
On the other hand if the psychopathic reptilian bloodline to which you refer are the moneylenders, then I suggest that the psychopathic chameleon bloodline, be used to differentiate.

April Preston
April Preston
13 days ago
Reply to  Curmudgeon

What blood type is the psychopathic reptilian bloodline? Is this a metaphorical descriptor of their cold blooded ways, or is it believed to be some sort of genetic variation from the rest of the population?

jimbogoofball
Member
jimbogoofball (@jimbogoofball)
22 days ago
Reply to  Mr Reynard

Some of that is not true simply because Russia REFUSES to target those running this show. These reptilians should have been hit long ago and yet NOBODY will fire at them. No need to go to mars. Just start hunting these reptilians down and kill them. Simple huh?

Mr Reynard
Mr Reynard
21 days ago
Reply to  jimbogoofball

Hmm.. Maybe you’re right ? Maybe not ?? How do you know , that in case of TSHF Putin will not target with nukes the reptilian bloodline den, e.g.City of London, Wall St, Geneva & Zurich ??
Today it’s not as during WWI & WWII were they were safe in London (WWI) & Hymietown USA (WWII)

Fred
Fred
22 days ago

Like the rest of the senior officer corps MacGregor is a dirtbag who sold us out to the Jews on 9/11 for personal gain.

Charlene Richards
Charlene Richards
21 days ago
Reply to  Fred

I wonder what MacGregor was doing in 1967 when Israel was trying to sink the U.S.S. Liberty in international waters during the Six Day War?

I would be quite interested to see his thoughts on The Liberty and 9/11.

April Preston
April Preston
18 days ago

MacGregor would have been around 14 years old in 1967. Males at that age tend to think about other things rather than the Israeli conflicts. But, who knows? Maybe he was already creating strategy in his bedroom.

April Preston
April Preston
13 days ago
Reply to  Fred

I believe he sold a book to the Israeli Defense Force. I wonder how many other people have sold something to a Jew.
I’ve had those people cut my hair, hang fixtures, repair plumbing. How does one navigate the waters of ethnicity in order to not be labeled by the currents of social impropriety?

Jenna_H
Jenna_H (@jenna_h)
22 days ago

Who want sex? https://bit.ly/3d20a5v

Kbrice73
Kbrice73
21 days ago
Reply to  Jenna_H

Damn near every red blooded male on earth. Now please fuck off this is not the forum

NobodyUKnow
NobodyUKnow
22 days ago

If NATO does intervene in Ukraine, it’s likely the Russians will open up a second front in the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, where all that NATO has on the ground there is a token, trip-wire force that will not be able to stop a Russian attack.

And since all NATO countries are duty-bound to assist if another NATO country is attacked, the war in Ukraine will go from being a regional war to a major war involving virtually all countries in Europe.

China and North Korea will end up being involved sooner or later, as will India. China will likely use the opportunity to seize Taiwan as US forces will be stretched too thinly to deal with China in that theatre of operations and prosecute a European war.

The major war will then escalate into a world war.

Given the speed and lethality of modern weapon systems, the war is likely to be relatively short – or at least shorter than the Second World War was, but the probable intensity of the conflict will dramatically increase the possibility that one or more state actors involved will resort to using tactical or strategic nuclear weapons. They will resort to such weapons to try to win the war or break any stalemate that occurs.

I am doubtful that the US could successfully fight a war involving more than two fronts. They have neither the manufacturing or logistic capability to do such a thing anyway, having shipped most of their manufacturing capability to China due to their unslakeable greed.

The only reasons I can think of as to why the US would ever want to join a war in Ukraine, is to stop the Russians from selling oil and natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream 2 pipeline system, and to prevent them from retaining their strategically vital submarine base at Sevastopol in Crimea. Loss of that base would deprive Russia of easy access to the Mediterranean.

As strategies, neither make any sense because Russia will not tolerate the loss of Nord Stream 2 or its base at Sevastopol and they will respond with all-out military force.

Wayne S.
Wayne S.
22 days ago
Reply to  NobodyUKnow

Russia would not attack the Baltic states knowing that it would trigger a NATO response. They are very smart and not fools.

Curmudgeon
Curmudgeon
22 days ago

Other than the reference to “the threat of war with Germany was growing”, and pretending FDR wasn’t interested in war, this is a good article.
What the author, and many like him, refuse to admit, is that all wars are economic wars. The moneylenders declared war on Germany 6 weeks after Hitler was appointed Chancellor, and did not have a majority of seats in the Reichstag. Germany was the only signatory to the Treaty of Versailles to have met its disarmament obligations, while the UK and France hadn’t started and refused to do so. The UK ordered production of the long range Lancaster bombers in 1937. Who were they going to bomb? Iceland? Norway? Spain? The only threat of war came from the allies. The offer to Poland was intended to start the war. Poland refused to settle the issue of borders with Germany, and declared that the 98% German city of Danzig, which was under League of Nations mandate, to be Polish territory. Why did they want a war? Because Germany showed how well economies perform when not under the yoke of the international banking cartel.
Ther goal of the North Atlantic Terrorist Organization is to cut off Russia and its economic links to Europe. Russia has mostly freed itself from the parasites put in place under Yeltsin. Until the parasitic infection returns, Russia will be the enemy.

Chevy
22 days ago

I don’t think Russia needs to do anything but just sit and mind their own business – America the rapidly declining great NATION needs no help in destroying itself. There are large segments of the population in the US who want nothing but peace and co-operation with our Eastern European Brothers .

humbert humbert
humbert humbert
22 days ago

Somewhere inside the woke pentagram they know that should they dare to bully and attack the Russians as they have the Iraqis, Syrians, Libyans etc, it will be their last prom.

Fred
Fred
22 days ago

As Rickover testified before the Senate, “They can sink all of our carriers in three days.”

Fred
Fred
22 days ago

EDIT: In light of Russia’s hypersonic weapon development, I’d give the entire U.S. carrier fleet two hours (worldwide).

JohnF
JohnF
22 days ago

Russia Has a Naval Base, as Well as Oil Export Facilities in Crimea, Ukraine.
*
Putin Threatened Nuclear War after Obama pulled off the 2014 Ukraine Coup to attack the Russian Economy after Russia figured out what was going on & stood against the Plan after Libya destroyed & Gaddafi Assassinated in 2011.
*
“This is a memo that describes how we’re going to take out seven countries in five years, starting with Iraq, and then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and, finishing off, Iran.” Gen W. Clark
*
Every President is following the same Plan since the ‘Skull N Bones’ Bush’s ‘New Pearl Harbor’ 911 Staged Event = America’s Reichstag Fire.

Fred
Fred
22 days ago
Reply to  JohnF

9/11 was stem to stern a Jewish production.
Bush was told to stay the hell out of the way at threat of an Everest of Mossad kompromat.

Jay
Jay
18 days ago
Reply to  Fred

always blaming the Jews .fools!!

JohnF
JohnF
15 days ago
Reply to  Fred

The American Military ‘Stood Down’ on 911 – Just like the Police ‘Stand Down’ for BLM & Antifa.

The Zionists Had a Lot of Help on 911.!!!!!

Juan
Juan
22 days ago

In 1937, FDR was the adult in the Oval Office” good joke buddy.

Bill Tierney
Bill Tierney
22 days ago

In FDR’s day, public opinion exacted obedience. Now, with federal elections under globalist control, they can do whatever they want.

Fred
Fred
22 days ago
Reply to  Bill Tierney

FDR was one of Them.

Timmy75
22 days ago
Reply to  Fred

And with that dreary, communist wife of his cheer leading him all the way.

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William Zabel
William Zabel
22 days ago

America is done anyway. Bankrupt, (financially and morally) ignorant of facts and history it sits at the edge of the abyss awaiting its own destruction.

Jean-Pierre
Jean-Pierre
21 days ago

In 1972 at NATO’s Reforger military exercises at Grafenwehr/Bavaria, I was standing next to a correspondent from the International Herald-Tribune in Paris. We watched the performance of the Dutch troops and he commented, “Their only hope in the day of battle is that the enemy, upon seeing them, will laugh themselves to death”. Some details have changed over the years, but from a reasonably informed position today, I have some advice for Mr. Putin – instruct your troops on how to laugh heartily while walking westwards at the same time.

Charlene Richards
Charlene Richards
21 days ago

What about Israel’s bloody attack in 1967 of the U.S.S. Liberty in international waters during the Six Day War?

LBJ gave orders to let The Liberty sink and a Russian ship came to the rescue. All anyone needs to do is watch the documentary “Dead in the Water”.

What did Israel and LBJ really want? For the world to believe Egypt had attacked the Liberty giving the US license to attack Egypt for its “friend” Israel??

I would welcome MacGregor’s thoughts on this. There are still a few survivors of The Liberty living and trying to find justice.

Israel should have been criminally indicted for what they did and should have become an international pariah.

Instead, here we are, living with a lie for decades.

Rabbitnexus
Rabbitnexus
20 days ago

There are more than a few survivors alive today and I’m friends with a few of them.

mothman777
mothman777
21 days ago

When was Germany ever a ‘growing threat’ to England?

Simon
Simon
21 days ago

Biden isn’t Caesar and Russia isn’t Grenada

Bob
Bob
21 days ago

This being the time of the end of all things, I would not be surprised to see pigs take wing and fly like sparrows (the same birds that are now virtually extinct due to militarily weaponized chemicals poisosning earth’s atmosphere). Goodbye, cruel world. Thy time is short.

Bob
Bob
21 days ago

Folks need to prepare for a whole world of war and destruction, and soon. All necessary elements are “woke” today. Even my puppies are “woke,” precious things. I suppose it’s in the air. And nobody is willing to take “NO mo’ guff,” y’heah, now!?

aspedougy
aspedougy
20 days ago

Ethnic loyalties trump allegiance to governments in this part of the world. The population in areas where Russians dominate overwhelmingly favor Russia. This is an opportunity for Putin to demonstrate his support for them, as well as say no to NATO expansion. Biden will give no more than verbal support, and possibly economic sancitons.

Jay
Jay
18 days ago

Putin is very good friend of Israel and has a big affinity for Jewish people as he was
Raised by Jews .

Jews are not the enemy and never were unless you are a Nazi sympathizer

Anti-Empire