Turkey Claims Has Killed “101” Syrian Troops Nobody Knew Were “Dead”, But Not Claiming Helicopter Downing That Actually Happened

When 7 Turkish soldiers were killed in a Syrian artillery strike on February 3  (when they were mistaken for the AQ rebels they had come to shield) Turkey rushed to say it had responded by striking “54” targets and killing “76” Syrian soldiers. That was obviously bogus just from the fact there would have been no way for Turkey to know how many Syrian soldiers their strikes had killed. But more than that there is scant evidence of any serious Turkish attacks at the time.

In reality, far fewer Syrian soldiers were killed that day and it is unclear any at all by Turkish hand.

Same thing again. After 6 Turkish soldiers were killed in a Syrian artillery counter-strike yesterday Turkey is claiming today it has responded by striking “115” targets and killing “101” Syrian soldiers. Truly impressive how Turkey is able to instantaneously able to determine enemy casualties from 115 separate attacks to a single digit, however again I can not find confirmation that Turks did much of anything.

The one high-profile loss the Syrian army did sustain today, the loss of an Mi-17 helicopter, Turkey on the other hand empathically did not claim responsibility for:

Turkey’s Defense Ministry later said that the regime forces have completely withdrawn from Nayrab. The ministry also confirmed the downing of the helicopter, but did not specify who shot it down.

So there’s that. It may be tricky for Turkey to take aim at aircraft even if they wanted to hit back at the Syrians because if the aircraft was actually Russian there would likely be severe consequences as in November 2015.

It isn’t possible however that Turks may have recently transferred more shoulder-launched anti-air missiles to rebels, albeit that is speculation at this point. (Rebel shoot-downs of Syrian and Russian aircraft are quite rare, but they have happened before.)

To sum up, while Turkey is threatening to join the war in Syria on al-Qaeda’s side it hasn’t quite done so yet.

The Trump administration is definitely encouraging it to do so, however, calculating correctly that this would ruin Turkey’s relationship with Russia and force back into reliance on the US. Pompeo is even saying the US is willing to “coordinate” a response with Ankara whatever that may mean.

The AQ-dominated rebels for their part once they shot down the helicopter they paraded the pilot’s body through Idlib but the footage has been removed by Twitter.

The Syrian army meanwhile continued to slowly take ground, wrestling control of two more settlements.

War in Syria
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