With the Vaccine Out There Is No Excuse Left to Keep People in Lockdown Torture Past January

Inoculate the vulnerable and let everyone else who is at greater risk from lockdowns out at once

The approval of several Covid-19 vaccines is an impressive technological development that should rapidly end the lockdowns and allow normal life to resume. But authorities like Anthony Fauci and Bill Gates argue that lockdown restrictions may have to continue through the fall and even into 2022, notwithstanding the catastrophic harms the lockdowns have caused, especially to young people, the poor and the working classes.

The imminent dissemination of vaccines can help end lockdowns by the end of January. The Great Barrington Declaration, which we wrote with Martin Kulldorff of Harvard Medical School, provides the key idea: focused protection of people who face a high risk of mortality should they become infected.

The risk of mortality from Covid-19 infection is now well established by seroprevalence studies conducted world-wide. Seroprevalence studies measure a lower bound on the number of people who have been infected. There is a sharp age gradient in the survival rate after infection. At least 99.95% of people under 70 survive infection; that figure is only 95% for 70 and older.

Covid-19 is thus especially deadly for the old and others with chronic conditions. But the lockdowns are deadly as well. The harms include plummeting childhood vaccination, worse cardiovascular disease outcomes, and less cancer screening, to name a few. It’s impossible to quantify the total deaths they have caused and will cause, but it’s safe to conclude that for people under 70 without chronic conditions—especially children and young adults—Covid-19 is far less deadly than a lockdown. For children, the cessation of in-person schooling has led to severe learning losses, which are predicted to shorten the lifespans of affected students. Among 25- to 44-year-olds, the CDC reports a 26% increase in excess all-cause mortality relative to past years, though less than 5% of 2020 deaths have been due to Covid-19.

Given these facts, the Great Barrington Declaration calls for focused protection for the vulnerable. That means directing limited resources, now including vaccines, to shield these people from infection. For the rest of the population, it calls for an end to lockdown. Tens of thousands of epidemiologists, public health scholars, and physicians have signed on to this plan. But it has been dismissed by others who argue that perfect protection of the vulnerable is impossible. [While glancing over the fact there is no indication whatsoever universal lockdowns slowed the disease either.]

With vaccines being administered, that criticism is no longer viable. Thanks to Operation Warp Speed, Americans will have enough doses to inoculate 20 million people in December and 30 million more in January. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has rightly put nursing-home residents first in line; 38% of U.S. Covid deaths are connected to those settings. Frontline medical personnel will also receive priority; those who care for the elderly should receive special priority. So should people under 65 who are at severely elevated mortality from Covid-19 infection due to severe chronic disease.

These recommendations should reflect vaccine facts published by Pfizer. The company excluded people who had previously been infected with Covid-19 from its analysis, undoubtedly because natural immunity after recovery is known to be robust, so it expected the vaccine to provide no additional protection for them.

Children weren’t part of the vaccine trials and shouldn’t receive the vaccine unless it is proved to be safe for them.

Not vaccinating those who have recovered will preserve doses for the vulnerable and still susceptible. Priority should be given based on medical risk, not politics, or else more people will needlessly die.

Some 50 million people in the U.S. are over 65. The number of vaccine doses expected to be available over the next two months will be enough to vaccinate every elderly person who wants to be inoculated, as well as health-care workers and other vulnerable people. With a 90%-plus efficacy rate in protecting against Covid-19 symptoms, we will achieve near-perfect focused protection.

At that point, the lockdown should end immediately and forever. For healthy young and middle-aged people, especially for minorities and the poor, the lockdown’s harm far outstrips the harms from infection. It’s unreasonable to require near-universal vaccination before a resumption of normal life. It will take until at least June 2021 to produce enough doses for the whole U.S. population and June 2022 for the world. This strategy would inflict months more of unnecessary harms. It would also divert doses away from vulnerable people in other countries, ultimately increasing the world-wide toll of Covid mortality.

Focused protection is the best strategy for using the vaccine. A combination of vaccine-induced immunity among the vulnerable and natural immunity among the less vulnerable will provide a solid wall of protection against a recurrence of the epidemic in 2021. For the vulnerable, the vaccine will protect against Covid. For the less vulnerable, the vaccine will protect against lockdown torture.

Although the lockdowns should have been abandoned much earlier, the end is finally at hand with the advent of the vaccines. Then the work of repairing the damage can begin.

Source: The Wall Street Journal

  1. Undecider says

    Yes, old age is bad for old people. No vaccine will solve that.

  2. ke4ram says

    Lockdowns are inhuman, immoral, illegal, barbaric, and a few more I can’t come up with right now.

    Vaccines are nothing but a money bomb for the Medical Pharma Industrial Complex and we are the souls being milked. The best efficacy any vaccine has ever achieved is about 30% using figures from the MIPC. So they lie and swear to it. Worse we believe them.

    For 50 years they have been unable to come up with a vaccine for Corona Viruses. Now they have in less than one month. With virtually no testing they are shooting up people the world over with their witches brew over a virus where even the “vulnerable” (they like that word) aged have a 95% recovery rate. Of course in Nursing Prisons where the poorest conditions exist more are dying. The question to ask is how many of the nursing home staff have died.

    Most of the elderly in these homes and hospitals are dying due to 16th century medical conditions, neglect, abuse, and loneliness. “Doctors” (I use that word lightly) and institutions being paid to diagnose Covid getting even more money putting them on ventilators blowing out their lungs are changing inmates records to show “Do not resuscitate”. No autopsy allowed because of Covid.

    Giving the elderly who are already sick with poor immune systems a “vaccine” that the manufactures openly state will make you sicker than a dog will only speed up their deaths. I know one person whose mother of 83 has been locked up in isolation for months. Only level 4 prisons used to do that. No visitation allowed because the worse than useless PCR test came back positive. Talk about hell! This is how we are treating our most “vulnerable”.

    So go ahead,,, take the jab. But 5-10 years from now don’t expect any help from those that gave you the shot. And worse,,, this vaccine changes your DNA so there is no going back and most autoimmune diseases are extremely painful and deadly.

    1. Saint Jimmy (Russian American) says

      As far as my wife and I are concerned, they’ll have to hunt us down and knock us out to give us that damn “vaccine”.

      1. Raptar Driver says

        They will have to do it in my cold, hard, dead butt.

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  3. Garry Compton says

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  4. Billy Cobbett says

    ”But authorities like Anthony Fauci and Bill Gates argue that lockdown restrictions may have to continue through the fall and even into 2022”

    What the hell is Gates an authority on? Why can’t one of you gun crazy nuts do the right thing for a change and ”get rid” of him?

    1. Undecider says

      The “gun crazy nuts” don’t have the same immunity as BLM and Antifa. They can derail trains and get away with it. We’ll have to hope the BLM-tards get some gumption after a restoration of proper feelings, once their parents kick the bucket from a BG vaccine.

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