Is Biden On Course for a Blowout Victory?

The above headline comes courtesy of the Financial Times.

The accompanying story states:

With just over three weeks to go until US election day, Joe Biden has a significant polling advantage over Donald Trump, pointing to a potential blowout victory for the Democratic presidential challenger on November 3…

A flurry of polls conducted since the first acrimonious presidential debate and Mr Trump’s hospitalisation for coronavirus show that Mr Biden’s lead has widened at a time when millions of Americans have already voted or plan to do so before election day, either by mail or in person…

Several national polls have recently shown Mr Biden, the former vice-president, ahead by double digits, while an Financial Times analysis of RealClearPolitics data puts his lead at nine points. In several battleground states that hold the key to winning the Electoral College, he is also in the lead, albeit by a smaller margin…

An FT analysis of recent state polls gives Mr Biden an almost seven-point advantage in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, and a six-point edge in Wisconsin — three Midwestern states that were crucial in Mr Trump’s come-from-behind victory in 2016.

But there is a small contingent that argues mainstream polls are inaccurate and based on faulty methodology of the pollsters which is designed to promote the idea of Biden momentum more than anything else.

The most impressive pollster holding a contrary view is the non-partisan British polling firm Democratic Institute. DI is the only polling firm that correctly called Brexit and Trump’s 2016 election win. They now show a Trump electoral victory.

If you want all the details of why DI is getting different results, here’s is a 3 hour clip of institute director Patrick Basham discussing why he is showing election results that are different from mainstream results.

The meat of the discussion starts at roughly the 24 minute and 10-second mark.

I don’t trust anything that comes out of mainstream media, especially when it comes to Trump, so there may be something to the DI polling.

I am not a pollster so I don’t have the background to judge, but I wouldn’t mortgage the house and put all the money on Biden blowout victory.

Source: Target Liberty

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Bob avlon
Bob avlon
4 months ago

What a shame the best Dems can do is Biden or close behind Hilary. Seems like they don’t even have anyone close in the background. As much as you might hate The Donald your alternative is hunters father. sad state of affairs.

che guevera
che guevera
4 months ago

There are so many hidden competing agendas, who the hell knows. Unless it is a Dem landslide that overwhelms tRump, the narcist pig will hang on like he is jacking off and about ready to cum. Either way, the outcome is Disgusting and irrelevant to the programs and agenda that is needed to fix things, it is all totally Counterproductive at a time that surely the US can ill afford it.

Jihadi Colin
4 months ago

This election is a circus. Trump is slated to win in a landslide and is the establishment choice this time around, like literally every incumbent except George HW Bush since Reagan. (HW was punished for not expanding NATO and not invading Iraq in 1990-1. Kill Blinton learnt that lesson quickly and began expanding NATO and bombing and starving Iraq round the clock.) The opinion polls are deliberately designed to let the Killarybots shriek for another four years how Russia stole their election and so build momentum for the ongoing World War 3.

che guevera
che guevera
4 months ago
Reply to  Jihadi Colin

Sadly, your comment makes all too much sense.

Ilya Grushevskiy
Ilya Grushevskiy
4 months ago
Reply to  Jihadi Colin

I dunno, as a futures trader, I used to mark prices on settlement when I was down – if the strategy cost little.. this feels like what the Dems are doing with polling – it is cheap to fake opinion, to make yourself feel good.

It is self-defeating however, because it makes Dems comfortable and less likely to vote.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/poll-which-correctly-called-2016-election-sees-another-shocking-outcome-november

and https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/jpmorgans-kolanovic-has-warning-those-expecting-crushing-biden-victory

make for a good case why Trump will win big.

I don’t believe he is part of the current establishment – he would have been able to squash the coup against him quickly, rather than being assaulted for the whole 4 years of his presidency, if he were truly from the establishment.

An establishment civil war? Maybe.. But the civil war is then Trump vs Dems+GOP, at least for the most part.. this seems like Trump is a lot of an outsider, even if an elite. Why he is so despised, who knows.

He is a narcissist, so maybe he did in fact want to rule for 8 years above and beyond fixing America, and maybe therefore he will whip out the can of whoopass in his second term, but I am not holding my breath at all.

At the very least, he is destroying NATO single handedly, and helping turn a likely WWIII into a likely US civil war. Neither is wanted, and a philosopher king would have been preferred, but a regional conflict is better than a world conflict!

johnscriv
johnscriv
4 months ago

I think it is obvious “why he is so despised” by the establishment, it’s because he says things out loud in public, like “we’re there to secure the oil”, or “saudi arabia wouldn’t last two weeks without our support”, or “we’re in the middle east to support israel”, or “our generals just want to fight wars to keep the weapons industry happy”, these sort of truths are not meant to be uttered publicly by the US president, since his pronouncements are automatically given credence by the rest of the world.

Undecider
Undecider
4 months ago

The disinfo media is trying to BS the population into accepting massive cheating by Biden.

Anti-Empire