If You Die While Testing Positive for the Common Cold Coronavirus, Did You Die of the Cold or With the Cold?
If we used COVID-style deaths counting for the common cold its annual bodycount would be in the millions
99 percent of those who contract SARS-CoV-2 do not require treatment by medical professionals. (Stay at home, have plenty of fluids.) The median age of Italians who died after contracting it is 80.5 years. Unlike the common flu SARS-CoV-2 is harmless to children and extraordinarily unlikely to kill adults under 50, and even then, only if they have a pre-existing medical issue.
Yet supposedly nearly 800 people daily are now dying from this weak virus in Italy. How is that possible? You’ve got a condition that by all indications so far does not tax the body to a great extent, yet is now supposedly killing as many as 40% of the Italians that would die in an average day.
The explanation may hide in what we know is absolutely true right now. The death of every person in Italy right now who dies (usually just a few years below Italian life expectancy) having tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 is counted as a fatality of COVID-19.
That is despite the fact that just 1 percent of those who died were without (known) pre-conditions, and 48.5 percent had 3 or more.
That strikes me as a highly dubious way of quantifying the COVID-19 epidemic. Consider the numbers we would arrive with if we used the same methodology for the common cold (which is caused by different viruses from the corona family): Every year there are nearly 60 million deaths. If we assume the average person spends one week each year suffering from a common cold then using the COVID-19 methodology common cold deaths exceed 1 million (60 million divided by 52 weeks).
Yet if anyone tried to claim the common cold stacked up such a body count that would rightfully be seen as absurd.
The information that we need right now isn’t how many people are dying while testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, but whether there is excess mortality and how much.
Are right now more Italians dying daily from all natural causes than is the norm for a worse-than-average flu season year or not?
If yes then there is a severe and unusual health crisis going on (albeit not necessarily one caused by SARS-CoV-2), and if no, then there is not.
If there isn’t, then what we’re seeing is an accounting trick where deaths that would have occurred anyway are passed off as due to the coronavirus.
Possibly it is a mix of both. Possibly COVID-19 has elevated mortality, but not nearly by as much as the 800 daily toll would indicate.