Herd Immunity Could Have Saved More Lives Than Lockdown, Study Suggests

Keep the healthy from getting it and more of the frail have to get it before it's over

Blanket social distancing and the closure of schools may have cost more lives than if herd immunity had been allowed to build slowly in the community, a study suggests.

A reanalysis of the Imperial College modelling that led to lockdown in March shows that shutting schools and preventing youngsters from mingling may have had the counterintuitive effect of actually killing more people.

In a study published in the BMJ, Edinburgh University predicted that over the entire course of the pandemic, keeping children out of classrooms would increase deaths by between 80,000 and 95,000. Likewise, social distancing of everyone, rather than just the over-70s, could cost between 149,000 and 178,000 lives.

Experts say the virus was able to spread faster to vulnerable people once lockdown measures were introduced than if some level of immunity had been allowed to build up in the young.

Flattening the curve or prolonging the pandemic?

It comes as thousands of scientists across the world signed the Great Barrington Declaration, calling for an end to lockdown for young and healthy people.

The Government locked down the country after Imperial modelling showed that 500,000 people could die and the NHS would be overwhelmed.

But Imperial had also predicted that no mitigation strategy could lower deaths to fewer than 200,000 without a vaccine, and suppressing the virus would merely delay an even deadlier resurgence.

The authors of the new paper, who rediscovered the figures in their reappraisal, said the Government appeared to have chosen to protect the NHS in the short term, rather than save lives throughout the whole epidemic. Although it reduced peak demand for ICU beds, it prolonged the epidemic, resulting in more long-term Covid-19 deaths.

Lead author Graeme Ackland, Professor of computer simulation at the University of Edinburgh, said: “In March the Government had to make a decision: did they want to save lives or beds?

“Lockdown does mean that the number of deaths goes down, so there is a short-term gain, but it leads to long-term pain. If you had done nothing, it would all be over by now. It would have been absolutely horrendous but it would be over. It wouldn’t even have been completely lunatic to do nothing.”

Figures showing the dangers of closing schools and blanket social distancing were reported in the original Imperial paper, but many experts did not notice them, it is claimed.

“I talked to people on SPI-M and Sage and they hadn’t seen them,” added Prof Ackland.

The Prime Minister’s spokesman said: “We have considered the full range of scientific opinion throughout the course of this pandemic and we will continue to do so.”

Source: The Telegram

  1. voza0db says

    The HERD of moron modern slaves is getting what it DESERVES…

    And the BEST part of the FUN is yet to come!

    Go Go…

    OPERATION COVID main GOAL is not to kill moron slaves, if they die during this OPERATION that’s just a small extra bonus.

  2. Pablo says

    Have you heard Joe Biden’s campaign ads? Biden says this: “We can’t get control of the Economy until we get control of the Virus.” Biden and the rest of the Political Wh#re Class in Washington D.C. are going to blame the Crashed Economy on the Virus instead of the REAL culprits: Wall Street, The Fed and the Political Wh#re Class. They are holding the Economy–and the return to normalcy–hostage in order to cover their collective a##es. Despicable, but pretty much in line with how the people who own and run the USA operate.

  3. Julio Cesar Perez says

    After 6 months of lockdown, we realize that it is not a sanitary measure, but a political measure to cover up the miserable capitalist economy.

    1. Christine Klotz says

      Google is paying $192 for every single hour….. Previous Monday I’ve got my first Mercedes-AMG right after getting my biggest payout of $35475 for a week..(6o97)… It seems un-believable but you won’t forgive yourself if you do not check it

      (Go to “Home” Tab within it to get details)

      >>>>>>>>> http://fh.unair.ac.id/url/googletechjobs


  4. ke4ram says

    Prove the virus exists. Let’s see them isolate it. Until then, it’s all hypothetical. Anyone think it’s okay to destroy economies for hypothetical claims?

    And if they haven’t isolated the virus,,, what in Gods name is their PCR test looking for?

    How can they claim any of this without ever verifying the virus is real?

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