FSB Is Failing the Russian Army, State and Escalation. Big Time.
Escalation not off to an amazing start
Imagine deploying a giant and killer military for war but then your worthless and overpaid spooks can’t conjure up a pretext worth a damn.
They blew up a car of a police official, in what was already a transparent false-flag, but being extra cheap they didn’t even use his real car:
I kid you not. Not only did the separatists prerecord the evacuation videos, but they also didn’t want to blow up the DNR militia head’s expensive UAZ Patriot so badly, they put its number plates on a different old UAZ worth a thousand bucks. Spotted by @djxtrees pic.twitter.com/7fEHEWDPXA
— Tadeusz Giczan (@TadeuszGiczan) February 19, 2022
Then they claim to have neutralized a Ukrainian infiltration commando, but instead of being able to show the body or dog tags they have “his GoPro video” that has him shooting tracer rounds.
Packing a camera to a mission behind enemy lines, and drawing added attention to your position with shiny bullets:
🎥 DPR Militia releases footage recovered from a dead Ukrainian soldier's gopro who according to the DPR, along with his group attempted to carry out a sabotage mission near Gorlovka. DPR says they were neutralized and found with foreign ammunition. pic.twitter.com/ztZ0gHALD4
— ASB News / MILITARY〽️ (@ASBMilitary) February 18, 2022
Worst of all, the Donbass evacuation they cooked up is extraordinarily counter-productive and actively harms their case. Just 1% of the 3.7 million total population have evacuated so far, and that is if you buy the dodgy official numbers.
Local residents told Readovka that those who survived 2014 are not going to urgently evacuate – the citizens are ready for war, but they hope that everything will end soon. Life in Donetsk goes on – public transport runs around the city, people go about their business.
“I don’t plan to leave. Scary! We have been afraid for 8 years already, but what to do… where to go,” a local resident told Readovka.
The disinterest of the populace in becoming a refugee prop in Russia goes directly against their narrative of Donbass being under extraordinary threat or stress at this moment.
Trucks are driving around the DPR telling civilians to evacuate tonight pic.twitter.com/yiyc0OvOyL
— Woofers (@NotWoofers) February 18, 2022
But hey, they were able to draw attention to this hole in the ground, so that’s something!:
I can confirm that appears to be a hole in the ground. https://t.co/czg0NmWQ89
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) February 19, 2022
But I doubt “Remember the dirt road!” will be much of a battle cry.
The best that can be said of their efforts so far is that at least — unlike the Maidanites — they haven’t killed anyone yet for their stunts.
Russia has a system where multiple covert services compete in delivering results utilizing different approaches, but on this evidence, they need to be binned and their personnel released into productive jobs like road sweeping and dishwashing.
At this point, an honesty approach seems like it would advance Moscow’s agenda far better. Why not just state the ideological and strategic case for the escalation, and stop with these intelligence-insulting stunts?
This is the problem with these kind of violence-utilizing enterprises. Ridding Malorussia of WW2 revisionism and bringing it back into the fold sounds good in theory, but what is the execution going to be like? It is likely to entail many, many things we do not want to see. And much more serious and more sad things than an innocent UAZ being blown up.
The Russian military is a very potent one, but doesn’t have a way to do what it does and not inflict civilian (aka innocent) casualties.
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) February 20, 2022
Russian media "News Front" was conveniently on the site of shelling of Vasylivka water pumping station and published a video of hits last night pic.twitter.com/bVMUjZ9gON
— Liveuamap (@Liveuamap) February 19, 2022
Russia’s Investigative Committee now says “Ukrainian shelling” completely destroyed an empty residence and a farm building outside Rostov (inside Russia). Moscow is treating it as an “attempted murder” case. https://t.co/4ksT8MLCB2 pic.twitter.com/wDfQ8UdHLP
— Kevin Rothrock (@KevinRothrock) February 19, 2022