Did Iran Have a Motive to Strike the Tankers After All?

If they can't export petrochemicals why should anyone else?

Japan was in Tehran talking peace but he was all too quick to cease Iranian oil imports and switch for Saudi and Emirati oil

Early this morning, around 6:00 UTC, two tankers in the Gulf of Oman were attacked by surface weapons. Both ships were some 50 kilometers south-east of Bandar-e Jask, Iran, and some 100+ kilometers east of Fujairah.

The Front Altair, a 250 meter long crude oil tanker under the flag of the Marshal Islands, came from the United Arab Emirates and was on was on its way to Taiwan. Its load of 75,000 tons of naphta caught fire and the crew had to abandon the ship.

The second attacked ship is the Kokuka Courageous, a 170 meter long tanker flagged by Panama. It was coming from Saudi Arabia and on its way to Singapore. The ship has its hull breached above the water line, but its load of methanol seems to be intact.

The Iranian Search and Rescue ship Naji picked up the 44 crews members of both ships and brought them to Bandar-E Jash. Oil prices increased by some 4%.

These attacks come a month after four ships anchoring near the UAE port Fujairah were damaged by explosives attached to their hulls. The investigation of that incident by the UAE did not blame anyone for the attack but suggested that a nation state must have been behind it. U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton blamed Iran.

It is likely that Iranian proxy forces were involved in the May attacks. It seems unlikely that Iran had anything to do with today’s attacks.

The May attack was accompanied by two drone strikes launched by Houthi forces in Yemen on the Saudi east-west pipeline that allows some Saudi exports to avoid a passage through the Street of Hormuz. A third strike was a medium range missile launch by the Islamic Jihad in the Gaza strip against the city of Ashkelon in Israel.

All three strikes together were a warning that those countries who instigate for a U.S. war on Iran would get seriously hurt should Iran be attacked.

The attack today comes at an inconvenient time for Iran. The loud anti-Iran campaign John Bolton initiated in April and May recently calmed down.

U.S. President Trump tries to move Iran towards negotiations with him. He recently received the President of Switzerland in the White House. Switzerland is the ‘protecting power’ that represent U.S. diplomatic interests in Iran. The German Foreign Minister Maas was send to Iran to press for Iranian concessions. Currently the Prime Minister of Japan Shinzo Abe is visiting Tehran. He today met Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei but had no success in moving Iran towards negotiations with the Trump.

Even while Iran rejects negotiations with the U.S. as long as the U.S. keeps up its sanctions,  it has no interest in disturbing the current phase of diplomacy. Iran seems to have nothing to win from these attacks.

Is someone else out to nearly literately torpedo the current mediation attempts?

Update (11:30 utc, 7:30 AM blog time):

A few tweets Iran’s Supreme Leader issued after his meeting with Prime Minister Abe today hint at a motive Iran might have to conduct something like the attack that happened today:

The keyword here is “petrochemical”. The tankers hit today were loaded with naphta from the UAE and methanol from Saudi Arabia. Both are petrochemical products and not simply crude oil.

Last Friday, June 7, the U.S. sanctioned all trade with Iran’s biggest petrochemical producer. These sanction will seriously hurt Iran.

When the Trump administration began to sanction Iran’s oil export last year, Iran announced new rules of the game. It said that it would retaliate against other Persian Gulf producers should Iran be unable to export its goods:

Iran has threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for oil shipments from the Middle East. The warning comes in response to the US, which is trying to cut off Iranian crude exports.

Iran’s supreme leader’s senior adviser for international affairs, Ali Akbar Velayati said his country will retaliate.“The most transparent, complete and prompt response was given by Mr [Hassan] Rouhani, the Iranian president, in his last trip to Europe. The response was clear: if Iran cannot export oil through the Persian Gulf, no-one will do this,” Velayati said, speaking at the Valdai discussion club in Russia. “Either everyone will export, or no-one,” he added.

Now we can apply the keyword Khamenei used today to these sentences: “if Iran cannot export petrochemical products through the Persian Gulf, no-one will do this”. “Either everyone will export, or no-one.”

That Iran might have this motive does not mean or prove that it is responsible for today’s attack. Risking to sink two foreign tankers in international water is not what an otherwise cautious Iran would typically do. Someone else might have initiated it to blame it.

Still – no matter if Iran was involved – what Khamenei said is a very serious message that Abe, who Trump sent to Iran, will understand and communicate back to the White House.

Source: Moon of Alabama

  1. Aen RaBeon says

    Cue Bono? This you forgot to ask yourself Bernhard. All this is part of a bigger jooish plan. Pompeo convinced me.

  2. Binaj says

    Abe is puppet of washington

  3. JustPassingThrough says

    “The keyword here is “petrochemical”.” according to bernie

    Now we can apply the keyword Khamenei used today to these sentences: “if
    Iran cannot export petrochemical products through the Persian Gulf,
    no-one will do this”

    -no you can’t bernie the bozo. you have totally albeit amatuerishly manipulated the original sentence. it is your speculation. it is BS

    your verbal sleight of hand and the subtitle to the article only show that you are as unbaised as your handlers. you are not even a runner-up for the J. Goebbels propaganda award. so sad

    don’t give up your daytime job, assuming you have one.

  4. plamenpetkov says

    IF the tankers were really attacked where is all the naphtha in the water that allegedly they were carrying?

  5. John C Carleton says

    Iran, (Persia), has not attacked a country or a countries people, which did not first attack them, in about 300 years.

    The last time Saudi, Israhell or the USA, (USA does not now, never has and never will =America/Americans) illegally in a war crime attacked a country which did not first attack them, murdering foreign persons of a sovereign country, was while I was typing this.

    “By their fruits ye shall know them!”
    KJV bible.

    “By deception thou shalt do war!”

    Seems the world has a Rodent Problem!

    1. Richard Hollembeak says

      Who is wanting a war with Iran ? The lying scum out of DC may know the truth , but do you think they will every tell you the truth ?

      1. John C Carleton says

        I wrote long ago, the Political call boys and girls of USA/DC, could not tell the truth if their very lives depended on it.
        Neither can the Non Semitic Khazarians, calling everyone Anti Semitic if they object to Israelis war crimes and evil un human acts.


  6. John C Carleton says

    Iran has not first attacked another country with out first being attacked, in around 300 years.

    Both Washington DC and Tel Aviv, are murdering innocent people, in war crimes, who did not first attack them, right now!
    Both Israhell, (Khazarian crime cabal) and USA/DC, Run by the Khazarian Mafia, are occupying countries they invaded without provocation.

    Don’t forget, Israhell, which has an estimated 300 illegal nukes, which they threaten to blow the world up with, if they are not allowed to rape, rob and murder, has been screaming for 40 years, Iran is six months away from having ONE nuclear bomb!

  7. Rowdy-Yates says

    America and israel want war with Iran. Iran will not engage so America torpedoes a Japanese cargo ship, blames Iran and starts a war.

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