Dear Covid Bed-Wetters, Could You Please Stop Attributing Every Covid-Positive Death to the Virus?
It's anti-science and it's making you look even sillier than you already are
Dr. John Lee points out that due to a double whammy of a.) the way in which covid-positive deaths are being recorded and b.) the further spread of this highly infectious virus we are now on track for supposed covid-19 deaths to start approaching the overall death rate (all without any excess mortality):
It should be noted that there is no international standard method for attributing or recording causes of death. Also, normally, most respiratory deaths never have a specific infective cause recorded, whereas at the moment we can expect all positive COVID-19 results associated with a death to be recorded. Again, this is not splitting hairs. Imagine a population where more and more of us have already had COVID-19, and where every ill and dying patient is tested for the virus. The deaths apparently due to COVID-19, the COVID trajectory, will approach the overall death rate. It would appear that all deaths were caused by COVID-19 — would this be true? No. The severity of the epidemic would be indicated by how many extra deaths (above normal) there were overall.
I’m just a high school drop out and an ex-factory worker, but even I was pointing out two weeks ago if we did the same for the common cold (another coronavirus disease) its apparent body count (everyone who died with the virus) would be in the millions:
Consider the numbers we would arrive with if we used the same methodology for the common cold (which is caused by different viruses from the corona family): Every year there are nearly 60 million deaths. If we assume the average person spends one week each year suffering from a common cold then using the COVID-19 methodology common cold deaths exceed 1 million (60 million divided by 52 weeks).
Yet if anyone tried to claim the common cold stacked up such a body count that would rightfully be seen as absurd.
Up until Thursday last week 6,414 Italian health care workers have tested positive for covid-19. The real number is probably even higher. Also, it’s probably the case these infections are disproportionately centered on Northern Italy.
So what we have is a virus that is running rampant in hospitals and health facilities. Anyone who visits a hospital for any reason right now in Lombardy is liable to be infected with the (rather benign) covid-19 virus. Then should such a person perish he will be counted as a coronavirus fatality regardless of the ailment that forced him to visit the hospital in the first place.
Nope, that’s not good science. You can’t scream that covid is not just like the flu and at the same time attribute deaths to it differently than for every other infection out there:
In the current climate, anyone with a positive test for Covid-19 will certainly be known to clinical staff looking after them: if any of these patients dies, staff will have to record the Covid-19 designation on the death certificate — contrary to usual practice for most infections of this kind.
— OffGuardian (@OffGuardian0) April 1, 2020